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Hazardous Attributes: Survival Analysis of Soccer Clubs in Turkish Super League

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 30 Sayı: 1, 15 - 24, 31.05.2019
https://doi.org/10.17644/sbd.424518

Öz

European football is the most
popular sports among the ball sports. Survival in the top-tier league is vital
for the clubs. This study analyzed the factors that effected the survival of
the clubs in Turkish Super League by employing a survival analysis for
recurrent event model on the data set from 1990 to 2017. The most important
finding was the existence of the liability of newness. The risk of relegation
for the teams in their first year in the Super League was 20.7 times higher
than existing teams. The new teams in the Super League suffered from being
fresh to the league. New teams faced a higher risk of relegation than older
ones. Other than that, the number of prior relegations in the club history
increased the risk, while each additional foreign player decreased the risk. In
addition, each year of experience decreased the hazard ratio by 10%. Briefly,
regional location of the club base and existence of another team in the same
city did not have significant effects on their survival in Turkish Super
League.

Kaynakça

  • Barros CP, del Corral J, Rodriguez JP. (2008). The determinants of soccer player substitutions: A survival analysis of the Spanish soccer league. Journal of Sports Economics, 9, 160-172.
  • Barros CP, Frick B, Pasos J. (2009). Coaching for survival: The hazards of head coach careers in the German ‘Bundesliga’. Applied Economics, 41(25), 3303-3311.
  • Cleves M. (1999). Analysis of multiple failure-time data with Stata. Stata Technical Bulletin, 9(49), 30-39.
  • Cox DR. (1972). Regression models and life-tables. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 34(2), 187-220.
  • Dherbecourt JB, Drut B. (2009). Who will go down this year? The determinants of promotion and relegation in European soccer leagues. CEB Working Paper, No: 09/038.
  • Frick B. (2012). Career duration in professional football: The case of German soccer referees. The Oxford Handbook of Sports Economics: The Economics of Sports. 1. Oxford Handbooks Online.
  • Frick B, Pietzner G, Prinz J. (2007). Career duration in a competitive environment: The labor market for soccer players in Germany. Eastern Economic Journal, 33(3), 429-442.
  • Frick B, Wallbrecht B. (2012). Infant Mortality of Professional Sports Clubs: An Organizational Ecology Perspective. Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik/Journal of Economics and Statistics, 232(3), 360-389.
  • Noll RG. (2002). The economics of promotion and relegation in sports leagues. Journal of Sports Economics, 3(2), 169-203.
  • Oberhofer H, Philippovich T, Winner H. (2015). Firm Survival in Professional Sports: Evidence from the German Football League. Journal of Sports Economics, 16(1), 59-85.
  • Prentice RL, Williams BJ, Peterson AV. (1981). On the regression analysis of multivariate failure time data. Biometrika, 68, 373–379.
  • Stinchcombe AL. (1965). Social structure and organizations. Handbook of Organizations. Chicago: Rand McNally.
  • Wallbrecht B. (2010). Location and Success in German Bundesliga Soccer. Mimeo, Department of Management, University of Paderborn.

Tehlikeli Özellikler: Türkiye Süper Ligdeki Futbol Kulüplerinin Sağ Kalım Analizi

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 30 Sayı: 1, 15 - 24, 31.05.2019
https://doi.org/10.17644/sbd.424518

Öz

Avrupa
futbolu toplu sporlar arasında en popüler olanıdır. En üst seviye ligde sağ
kalmak kulüpler için hayati önem taşımaktadır. Bu çalışma, 1990’dan 2017’ye
kadar olan veri setine tekrarlayan olaylarda sağ kalım modelini uygulayarak
Türkiye Süper Ligindeki kulüplerin sağ kalımını etkileyen faktörleri
incelemektir. Çalışmanın en önemli sonucu ligde yeni olmanın yükümlülüklerinin
bulunmasıdır. Yeni kulüpler var olan kulüplere göre ligden düşme konusunda daha
yüksek bir risk ile karşılaşırlar. Takımların Süper Ligdeki ilk yılında küme
düşme riski ligde var olan takımlardan 20.7 kat daha fazladır. Bu nedenle,
Süper Lige yeni çıkan takımlar yeni olmanın cezasını çekmektedirler. Bunun
haricinde, her bir yıllık tecrübe artışı risk oranını %10 azaltmaktadır. Bununla
beraber, her bir yabancı oyuncu riski azaltırken, kulüp tarihindeki daha önceki
her bir küme düşme sayısı riski artırmaktadır. Son olarak, kulüp merkezinin
bölgesel konumunun ve aynı şehirde başka kulüplerin varlığının Türkiye Süper
Ligde sağ kalım üzerinde anlamlı bir etkisi yoktur.

Kaynakça

  • Barros CP, del Corral J, Rodriguez JP. (2008). The determinants of soccer player substitutions: A survival analysis of the Spanish soccer league. Journal of Sports Economics, 9, 160-172.
  • Barros CP, Frick B, Pasos J. (2009). Coaching for survival: The hazards of head coach careers in the German ‘Bundesliga’. Applied Economics, 41(25), 3303-3311.
  • Cleves M. (1999). Analysis of multiple failure-time data with Stata. Stata Technical Bulletin, 9(49), 30-39.
  • Cox DR. (1972). Regression models and life-tables. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 34(2), 187-220.
  • Dherbecourt JB, Drut B. (2009). Who will go down this year? The determinants of promotion and relegation in European soccer leagues. CEB Working Paper, No: 09/038.
  • Frick B. (2012). Career duration in professional football: The case of German soccer referees. The Oxford Handbook of Sports Economics: The Economics of Sports. 1. Oxford Handbooks Online.
  • Frick B, Pietzner G, Prinz J. (2007). Career duration in a competitive environment: The labor market for soccer players in Germany. Eastern Economic Journal, 33(3), 429-442.
  • Frick B, Wallbrecht B. (2012). Infant Mortality of Professional Sports Clubs: An Organizational Ecology Perspective. Jahrbücher für Nationalökonomie und Statistik/Journal of Economics and Statistics, 232(3), 360-389.
  • Noll RG. (2002). The economics of promotion and relegation in sports leagues. Journal of Sports Economics, 3(2), 169-203.
  • Oberhofer H, Philippovich T, Winner H. (2015). Firm Survival in Professional Sports: Evidence from the German Football League. Journal of Sports Economics, 16(1), 59-85.
  • Prentice RL, Williams BJ, Peterson AV. (1981). On the regression analysis of multivariate failure time data. Biometrika, 68, 373–379.
  • Stinchcombe AL. (1965). Social structure and organizations. Handbook of Organizations. Chicago: Rand McNally.
  • Wallbrecht B. (2010). Location and Success in German Bundesliga Soccer. Mimeo, Department of Management, University of Paderborn.
Toplam 13 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Spor Hekimliği
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Onur Burak Çelik 0000-0003-3400-5929

Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Mayıs 2019
Gönderilme Tarihi 17 Mayıs 2018
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2019 Cilt: 30 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Çelik, O. B. (2019). Hazardous Attributes: Survival Analysis of Soccer Clubs in Turkish Super League. Spor Bilimleri Dergisi, 30(1), 15-24. https://doi.org/10.17644/sbd.424518

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